Nvidia Corp (NVDA-Q) Quote - Press Release (2024)

Motley Fool - Sat Apr 27, 7:10AM CDT

April 19 featured one of the most drastic tech-led sell-offs we've seen in a while, with Nvidia(NASDAQ: NVDA) falling 10% in a single session. All of the "Magnificent Seven" stocks got hit hard on Friday and led the Nasdaq Composite to fall 5.5% in a week.

The Magnificent Seven is a term coined by Bank of America analyst Michael Hartnett and includes Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, and Tesla.

Here are three moves you can make to brace for a prolonged market sell-off.

Nvidia Corp (NVDA-Q) Quote - Press Release (1)

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Double-check your exposure

One of the most common mistakes investors make is to overly align themselves with a certain theme, sector, or type of stock.

The easiest way for this to happen is that similar stocks go up more than the rest of your portfolio and then make up a larger percentage. This is exactly what has happened in the S&P 500, which is now comprised of 29.7% tech stocks.

If you have held outperforming growth stocks for some time, your portfolio might have a higher allocation to growth than a few years ago.

Another important factor to check is your exposure to stocks in exchange-traded funds and index funds. Every $100 invested in the S&P 500 is really about $30 in tech and $70 in the rest of the market. Out of every $100 invested in the Nasdaq Composite, over $40 goes into the Magnificent Seven.

Many companies are also correlated to Magnificent Seven stocks. For example, if Nvidia gets hit hard, other chip stocks will also go down (precisely what played out during the April 19 sell-off).

Understanding how your portfolio will likely perform in different situations can help you better manage your holdings and adjust your allocation with your investment objectives.

2. Revisit investment theses

When volatility spikes, it's easy to get more emotional about investing. One way to counter emotions, on both the upside and the downside, is to have a clearly defined investment thesis for each stock you own.

It's easier to let a winner run or have the patience to hold a stock when it sells off if you have clear expectations for a company. For example, a good reason for owning Microsoft is because of its rock-solid balance sheet, massive free cash flow generation, steadily growing dividend and buyback program, diversified business model, growing margins and sales, and its ability to invest in artificial intelligence (AI), cloud infrastructure, and other growth outlets without jeopardizing the strength of the business.

In this vein, owning Microsoft isn't just about what it does in the coming quarter or year, but how it is positioned to capitalize on megatrends and return value to shareholders. Of course, investors want to make sure the valuation doesn't get out of hand, but it would take a seismic blunder for Microsoft's investment thesis to derail.

The most volatile Magnificent Seven stock is probably Nvidia, which collapsed 10% on April 19 and fell nearly 13.9% last week.

Nvidia Corp (NVDA-Q) Quote - Press Release (2)

^IXIC data by YCharts.

The harsh reality is that if a move like that scares you, it might be best not to own Nvidia at all -- which is perfectly OK.

Growth stocks like Nvidia aren't for everyone, and it takes a specific kind of risk tolerance to own them outright. For many investors, it might be better to get exposure to a company like Nvidia through an inexpensive fund like the Vanguard Growth ETF, where Nvidia is a top holding but is part of a diversified set of growth-focused stocks.

3. Regularly contribute to your portfolio

Investors who regularly commit new savings to their portfolios could see the sell-off as a buying opportunity, especially now that valuations have become more attractive.

It's never a good feeling to have no inflows in your portfolio and be 100% invested in stocks so that you have to sell or reduce a position to buy something else.

Contributing cash regularly to a portfolio, even a tiny amount, provides the dry powder needed to put capital to work during a sell-off without selling a stock at a big loss.

The path forward

Your approach to the sell-off in Magnificent Seven stocks will depend on your specific situation and portfolio needs. For example, if you go through a portfolio check and find out you already have plenty of exposure to the theme, you might want to do nothing.

If you find out you own a stock for the wrong reasons after revisiting an investment thesis, you might want to consider what changes need to be made to get your portfolio back on track. If you are looking for more exposure to growth, you could allocate a higher percentage of new portfolio contributions to your favorite Magnificent Seven companies. Or you could instead consider ETFs that are concentrated in growth stocks.

Most importantly, if you are a young investor or have a long time horizon, you will likely be a net buyer of stocks in the future, not a seller. In this position, sell-offs can actually work to your advantage.

Understanding that long-term financial goals are far more important than how green or red your portfolio looks on a given day can help calm emotions and help you make grounded investment decisions, especially when there's a lot of noise in the market.

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Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Daniel Foelber has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Bank of America, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, and Vanguard Index Funds-Vanguard Growth ETF. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Nvidia Corp (NVDA-Q) Quote - Press Release (2024)

FAQs

What to expect in NVDA earnings? ›

This quarter, analysts are expecting Nvidia's revenue to grow 242% year on year to $24.59 billion, a reversal from the 13.2% decrease it recorded in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings are expected to come in at $5.58 per share.

What is Nvidia Q1 earnings 2025? ›

Analysts project Nvidia's revenue to be $24.74 billion for the first quarter of fiscal 2025, up from the previous quarter and more than tripling from the year-ago period, according to consensus estimates compiled by Visible Alpha.

What is the prediction on NVDA earnings? ›

Earnings Estimate
CURRENCY IN USDCurrent Qtr. (Apr 2024)Next Qtr. (Jul 2024)
Avg. Estimate5.125.44
Low Estimate4.885.03
High Estimate5.626.12
Year Ago EPS0.982.7
1 more row

What is the analyst opinion on NVDA? ›

Nvidia has 12.01% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Is NVDA a Buy, Sell or Hold? Nvidia has a conensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 40 buy ratings, 2 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Nvidia is $1,035.84.

How much will NVDA be worth in 5 years? ›

Long-Term NVIDIA Stock Price Predictions
YearPredictionChange
2025$ 1,667.6280.23%
2026$ 3,005.56224.83%
2027$ 5,416.93485.44%
2028$ 9,762.96955.15%
2 more rows

Is NVDA a good investment now? ›

NVDA has a Growth Style Score of A, forecasting year-over-year earnings growth of 87.1% for the current fiscal year. Five analysts revised their earnings estimate upwards in the last 60 days for fiscal 2025. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased $0.52 to $24.25 per share.

How much will Nvidia earn in 2024? ›

For fiscal 2024, revenue was up 126% to $60.9 billion. GAAP earnings per diluted share was $11.93, up 586% from a year ago. Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share was $12.96, up 288% from a year ago.

What is the future growth rate of Nvidia? ›

Future Growth

EPS is expected to grow by 24.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 56.1% in 3 years.

What is Nvidia price to earning? ›

As at May 17, 2024, the NVDA stock has a PE ratio of 76.75. This is based on the current EPS of $12.05 and the stock price of $924.79 per share. A decrease of 14% has been seen in the P/E ratio compared to the average of 89.6 of the last 4 quarters.

What is the price target for NVDA in 2024? ›

Nvidia Stock Predictions 2024, 2025 & Beyond

Their consensus 12-month NVDA stock price target is $908.68, which represents a potential 2.14% upside over the $889.64 closing price on April 3, 2024.

What is the fair value of Nvidia stock? ›

Key Morningstar Metrics for Nvidia

With its 3-star rating, we believe Nvidia's stock is fairly valued compared with our long-term fair value estimate of $910 per share, which implies an equity value of roughly $2.2 trillion.

What is the stock price prediction for NVDA in 2028? ›

According to consensus estimates, Nvidia might end fiscal 2029 with adjusted earnings of $60 per share. So, if NVDA is priced at 30x forward earnings, it might touch $1,800 by May 2028. If it trades at 35x, the stock should be trading at $2,100, indicating an upside potential of over 100% from current levels.

Is NVDA in debt? ›

Total debt on the balance sheet as of January 2024 : $11.05 B. According to NVIDIA's latest financial reports the company's total debt is $11.05 B. A company's total debt is the sum of all current and non-current debts.

Is NVDA in spy? ›

Tech and AI ETFs With Highest Exposure to NVDA Stock

Currently, 443 ETFs hold Nvidia stock. The largest ETF to hold NVDA is the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), with over 27 million shares, representing a 2.81% allocation and $11.75 billion of market value.

Who are the top shareholders of NVDA? ›

The top individual shareholders of Nvidia are Jen-Hsun ("Jensen") Huang, Colette M. Kress, and Mark A. Stevens, and the top institutional shareholders are Vanguard Group Inc., BlackRock Inc. (BLK), and FMR LLC.

What is NVDA price to forward earnings? ›

What is NVIDIA Forward PE Ratio? NVIDIA's Forward PE Ratio for today is 39.12. NVIDIA's PE Ratio without NRI for today is 78.01. NVIDIA's PE Ratio for today is 79.45.

What is a fair market value for NVDA? ›

As of 2024-05-20, the Fair Value of NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) is 297.59 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 924.79 USD, the upside of NVIDIA Corp is -67.8%.

What is Nvidia earnings yield? ›

As of today (2024-05-20), the stock price of NVIDIA is $947.80. NVIDIA's Earnings per Share (Diluted) for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Jan. 2024 was $11.93. Therefore, NVIDIA's earnings yield of today is 1.26%.

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